Full Steam Ahead: How American High-Speed Rail Can Pull Even with China

As an environmentalist, there isn’t much I’m looking forward to from the Trump administration. In his first 100 days, Trump has promised to withdraw from the Paris climate agreement, ease regulations on fossil fuel production, and slash the EPA’s budget. But there is one thing the president-elect and I do agree on: our rail network is the laughing-stock of the world. Or, as Trump put it, the Chinese “have trains that go 300 miles per hour. We have trains that go chug-chug-chug.”

As simplistic as Trump’s comparison is, he has a point: access to high-speed rail is simply not a priority in the U.S. like it is in China. In 2003, Liu Zhijun, a charismatic businessman-turned-politician, known for his comb-over and “glamour” — sound familiar? — happened to be the Chinese Minister of Railways. He set out to build 7,500 miles of high-speed rail, more than any country had ever done before, and in five short years, the first high-speed rail lines were up and running, albeit at almost twice the cost that was projected.

 

Map of Chinese and Japanese high-speed rail systems as of 2015. /Wikipedia.

 

Meanwhile, the fastest American rail line is the Acela Express, which connects Boston, New York City, Philadelphia, Baltimore, and Washington, D.C. and averages a meager 68 miles per hour. Increasing cost of airfare and TSA restrictions are fueling the growing support for high-speed rail nationally, but Americans are still being forced to make do with subpar passenger rail service. In 2011, President Obama declared that high speed rail would serve every four out of five Americans in twenty-five years. Five years later, there is only one high-speed rail project underway in the U.S.

A 500-mile high-speed rail line was narrowly approved by Californians in 2008. When completed, it will connect Los Angeles and San Francisco in less than three hours, reaching a top speed of over 200 miles per hour — just as fast as European and Asian bullet trains. Taking the train would then be twice as fast as driving, and comparable to flying if you account for security lines and check-in.

 

The high-speed rail line will eventually connect San Diego and Sacramento too. The privately funded XpressWest will provide high-speed service from Los Angeles to Las Vegas in 80 minutes. /California High-Speed Rail Authority.

The high-speed rail line will eventually connect San Diego and Sacramento too. The privately funded XpressWest will provide high-speed service from Los Angeles to Las Vegas in 80 minutes. /California High-Speed Rail Authority.

 

The catch? Despite being marketed at $33 billion, the price tag has nearly doubled. Additionally, the first 119-mile stretch of the line was supposed to be completed by 2018, but now is slated for completion in 2022. At this rate, it will take over a decade for publicly funded high-speed rail to be a reality in America.

Due to the delays and its rising price tag, the project has started to fall into disfavor with Californians. Critics have regarded these initial challenges as signs that high-speed rail will never come to the U.S., calling the high-speed rail project a “social science experiment.”

In this respect, there are valuable lessons to be learned from the success of China’s high-speed rail system. First, it has proven that return on investment for high-speed rail is well worth the initial cost. As lawmakers fret about the ballooning cost of the high-speed rail project in California, the state will spend almost four times the cost of the rail line on road infrastructure by the time the rail line is completed. And unlike roads, high-speed rail lines can become profitable fairly quickly. China’s Beijing-Shanghai line, which was built in 2011, posted a profit in 2014, three years ahead of schedule, and is predicted to be paid off entirely by 2028.

 

Of the roughly $15 to $16 billion dollars set aside for transportation in California's 2016-17 budget, high-speed rail only accounted for 15%. /Legislative Analyst's Office

Of the roughly $15 to $16 billion dollars set aside for transportation in California’s 2016-17 budget, high-speed rail only accounted for 15%. /Legislative Analyst’s Office

 

Second, China has demonstrated that high-speed rail can have a positive environmental impact. Seven of the ten most polluted U.S. cities are in California, and the reason is clear: freeways in Los Angeles, San Francisco, and San Jose are among the most congested in the United States. While Chinese air quality continued to worsen following the introduction of high-speed rail in 2008, moving away from transportation powered by fossil fuels played an important role in mitigating air pollution levels when they peaked in 2014. Recent decreases in smog levels provide good reason to believe that air quality in China is on the up and up. Relying on 100% renewable energy and diverting tens of millions of passengers from flying or driving annually, the new high-speed rail line in California will easily offset the greenhouse gas emissions from construction and reduce smog along major corridors.

Lastly, ambition was key to the success of Chinese high-speed rail. In China, a big personality single-handedly paved the way for one of the largest infrastructure projects in modern history; there is no reason to think that the biggest personality on the national stage in America couldn’t do the same. In his acceptance speech, Trump promised to build the “railways of tomorrow,” and unlike a wall spanning the length of the Mexican-American border, thousands of miles of high-speed rail projects is certainly a way to be a remembered. Just ask Liu Zhijun.

Where the Sidewalk Ends: How Cities Can Save the Environment

In 2012, the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) moved its regional headquarters in downtown Kansas City to a new building in suburban Lenexa. The new building has water-efficient toilets, energy-efficient hand dryers, underfloor heating, air conditioning, and ventilation systems, and, to top it all off, a constructed wetland to sustainably manage 100% of its storm-water. All of these features have become hallmarks of a twenty-first century eco-friendly building.

But it’s also a move with potentially disastrous consequences for the environment.

Jeff Speck, author of Walkable City: How Downtown Can Save America, One Step At A Time, borrows fellow author David Owen’s term, “LEED brain,” to diagnose the EPA’s problem. LEED refers to the Leadership in Energy and Environmental Design certification, in which the sustainability of buildings are evaluated against a set of standards during both construction and maintenance. The different categories range from the sourcing of materials to the renewability of the energy used to power the building.

In the case of the EPA’s new building, the carbon saved with the impressive energy-saving measures will never balance out the tons of carbon emitted by the hundreds of employees now commuting daily to its new suburban location. Many of them used to take public transit to the old headquarters in the heart of Kansas City’s downtown. For many, the move added twenty miles or more to their daily commutes.

Speck, a planning professional for over twenty years, believes that Western society’s preoccupation with easy, flashy technological fixes causes less palatable but equally effective solutions to be overlooked. That is exactly why Walkable City is a must-read, and a breath of fresh air, not only for environmentalists, but also for public health professionals, government officials, and concerned citizens.

Speck prefaces his book with the disclaimer that “this is not the next great book on American cities,” even though Walkable City was named the best design/planning book of 2013. This is perhaps because he already co-authored that one: Suburban Nation: The Rise of Sprawl and the Decline of the American Dream is widely regarded as the seminal work of the twenty-first century planning movement. But where Suburban Nation was about the problem, Walkable City is about the solutions.

Flickr/Rev Stan

 

In Speck’s view, walkability offers more than just benefits for our environment. By reducing air pollution, asthma rates can be drastically lowered, and an active lifestyle can help curb obesity. The number of injurious and fatal car crashes would decrease while increasing productivity, attracting top talent, and stimulating the local economy. In documenting these side effects, Speck invites an audience much wider than his fellow planners to read his book, appealing to those interested in, as he puts it, “health, wealth, and sustainability.”

Speck isn’t all talk and no walk. With data and real-life experience to support his assertions, Walkable City challenges decades of conventional planning wisdom, advocating for narrower roads and lane widths and the eventual elimination of off-street parking (and higher on-street parking prices). These measures, Speck argues, will reduce congestion drastically, and save millions of gallons of fuel. He believes they will also increase the safety and comfort of pedestrians, as well as business revenue.

These policy recommendations add up to his “General Theory of Walkability,” which maintains that American downtowns need to be useful, safe, comfortable, and interesting. The stark contrast drawn between different cities — even sometimes between different neighborhoods — certainly makes it clear that these qualities do indeed have a strong effect on whether the average citizen chooses to go for a stroll or for a drive.

Discussing zoning code reform and other rather dry topics can make for a less than captivating read. Speck, however, has no problem capturing and holding the interest of the reader. Incorporating witty asides such as a quote from George Costanza of Seinfeld and brash statements like “traffic studies are bullshit” into a compelling and serious narrative is not an easy task, but one that Speck has mastered beautifully in Walkable City.

Likewise, with the content of this book, Speck has done the near-impossible: get to the bottom of what is wrong with with our cities and lay out a clear, concise, and most importantly, implementable vision for their future, backed up by decades of research.

In 2012, had Speck consulted the EPA on its new headquarters, it’s a sure bet that he would have pushed very hard to keep them in Kansas City, especially given that the EPA’s presence there was a dam holding back the flood of businesses and families leaving for the suburbs. For Kansas City, and other American cities struggling to turn the tide, Speck has the answer: walkability.